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JPMorgan CEO predicts outcome of Trump’s trade policy

Published on April 07, 2025 at 08:09 PM

JPMorgan Chase Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Jamie Dimon, has stated that the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump are likely to drive prices higher and increase the risk of a recession in the United States.

In a message to shareholders, Dimon warned that the tariffs would not only fuel inflation but also exert additional pressure on an economy that has shown signs of slowing in recent times.

In his annual letter, published on Monday, Dimon acknowledged that, while there may be legitimate reasons behind the newly announced tariffs, they are nonetheless expected to produce “important short-term effects.”;

The CEO predicted a high likelihood of “inflationary outcomesâ€”not only on imported goods but also on domestic prices, as input costs rise and demand shifts towards domestic products.”;

“Whether or not the range of tariffs leads to a recession remains uncertain, but it will undoubtedly slow economic growth,”; he emphasised.

Praising the United States as an “exceptional nation”; that has long shouldered the responsibility of maintaining global security through “extraordinary efforts,”; including those in trade, Dimon asserted that the challenges now facing the country call for a recalibration of its strategic approach.

However, he issued a warning that any retreat by the U.S. from its role in global leadership would create a vacuum, one that could be filled by China or other actors seeking to impose an alternative set of international rules and norms.

“Whether one views China as a competitor or a potential adversary, it is imperative that we work alongside our allies to firmly negotiate an ongoing relationship,”; Dimon advised.