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Trump’s tariff war: Airline travel between Canada, US ‘collapsing’

Published on March 28, 2025 at 09:53 AM

A data from the aviation analytics company, OAG, has shown that airline travel between Canada and the US is “collapsing”;.

This is amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff war with Canada with flight bookings between the two countries down by over 70%, newly released data suggests.

OAG reports, according to the Guardian UK, that airline capacity between the two countries has been reduced through October 2025.

It said the biggest cuts would occur between the months of July and August, which is considered peak travel season.

Passenger bookings on Canada to US routes are currently down by over 70% compared to the same period last year.

OAG compared the available bookings from March 2024 to March 2025, looking at how many people have booked trans-border flights in the six-month period between April through September.

The report found that the number of tickets booked was down anywhere from 71% to 76%.

Also, the total capacity available for passengers on flights between the two countries has also reduced.

The data shows that more than 320,000 seats have been removed by airlines operating between the two countries through to the end of October, with the highest cuts, 3.5%, also occurring during the peak summer months.

But the steep decline suggests that the current capacity cuts do not even begin to cover the current disinterest in traveling to the US.

The drop in bookings suggests that Canadian travelers no longer want to make reservations, probably due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the tariff war.

Canadian prime minister, Mark Carney, called the latest round of Trump’s tariffs a “direct attack”; on Canadian workers.

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